Here is Mike Flynn's managerial record for League games after 87 games (Grimsby away)

PLAYED.........................................87
WON..............................................34
DRAWN.........................................24
LOST..............................................29
GOALS FOR................................107
GOALS AGAINST.........................123
GOAL DIFFERENCE....................(-16)
POINTS....................................126

Points per game = 1.4482 x 46 = 67 pts for a full season

Percentage of available
points collected....126 from a possible 261 = 48.27%

Win percentage = 39.1%

Highest winning margin...........................................4 goals
Highest margin of defeat.........................................6 goals
Home wins.............................................................21
Away wins..............................................................13
Home draws...........................................................15
Away draws..............................................................9
Goalless draws.........................................................6
Score draws...........................................................18
Home defeats...........................................................7
Away defeats..........................................................22
Home clean sheets.................................................15
Away clean sheets....................................................9
Home games we've failed to score...........................7
Away games we've failed to score..........................11
Longest winning run.................................................4
Longest losing run....................................................3 (on 2 occasions)
Longest run of drawn games...................................3 (2 home,1 away)
Back-to-back wins....................................................6 occasions
Three wins on the bounce........................................2 occasions
Four wins on the bounce..........................................1 occasion

Currently, in terms of the number of points collected per game,
in comparison with all other teams, we're on track to finish:
* 11th on 63 pts
* 29 pts short of winning the division outright
* 10 pts short of the lowest Play-Off spot
* 23 pts clear of relegation
* 29 pts clear of bottom place (Notts County)

Currently, our most likely finishing position is 11th on 66 pts

As always, thanks for reading,
NGR.

newgroundrodney wrote:Here is Mike Flynn's managerial record for League games after 87 games (Grimsby away)

PLAYED.........................................87
WON..............................................34
DRAWN.........................................24
LOST..............................................29
GOALS FOR................................107
GOALS AGAINST.........................123
GOAL DIFFERENCE....................(-16)
POINTS....................................126

Points per game = 1.4482 x 46 = 67 pts for a full season

Percentage of available
points collected....126 from a possible 261 = 48.27%

Win percentage = 39.1%

Highest winning margin...........................................4 goals
Highest margin of defeat.........................................6 goals
Home wins.............................................................21
Away wins..............................................................13
Home draws...........................................................15
Away draws..............................................................9
Goalless draws.........................................................6
Score draws...........................................................18
Home defeats...........................................................7
Away defeats..........................................................22
Home clean sheets.................................................15
Away clean sheets....................................................9
Home games we've failed to score...........................7
Away games we've failed to score..........................11
Longest winning run.................................................4
Longest losing run....................................................3 (on 2 occasions)
Longest run of drawn games...................................3 (2 home,1 away)
Back-to-back wins....................................................6 occasions
Three wins on the bounce........................................2 occasions
Four wins on the bounce..........................................1 occasion

Currently, in terms of the number of points collected per game,
in comparison with all other teams, we're on track to finish:
* 11th on 63 pts
* 29 pts short of winning the division outright
* 10 pts short of the lowest Play-Off spot
* 23 pts clear of relegation
* 29 pts clear of bottom place (Notts County)

Currently, our most likely finishing position is 11th on 66 pts

As always, thanks for reading,
NGR.

Be good to see this at the end of the season because instinctively it don't sit right with me. You've told me before that I shouldn't look at form until the last few games ..but I do - that is the team we currently are - not what we were at the beginning of the season or last season or what other teams were like - recent form, for me, better predicts the next match results - I can't see us getting that number of points unless current form changes dramatically but I would be happier as a fan to take your prediction over mine!!!

Fourthousand wrote:

newgroundrodney wrote:Here is Mike Flynn's managerial record for League games after 87 games (Grimsby away)

PLAYED.........................................87
WON..............................................34
DRAWN.........................................24
LOST..............................................29
GOALS FOR................................107
GOALS AGAINST.........................123
GOAL DIFFERENCE....................(-16)
POINTS....................................126

Points per game = 1.4482 x 46 = 67 pts for a full season

Percentage of available
points collected....126 from a possible 261 = 48.27%

Win percentage = 39.1%

Highest winning margin...........................................4 goals
Highest margin of defeat.........................................6 goals
Home wins.............................................................21
Away wins..............................................................13
Home draws...........................................................15
Away draws..............................................................9
Goalless draws.........................................................6
Score draws...........................................................18
Home defeats...........................................................7
Away defeats..........................................................22
Home clean sheets.................................................15
Away clean sheets....................................................9
Home games we've failed to score...........................7
Away games we've failed to score..........................11
Longest winning run.................................................4
Longest losing run....................................................3 (on 2 occasions)
Longest run of drawn games...................................3 (2 home,1 away)
Back-to-back wins....................................................6 occasions
Three wins on the bounce........................................2 occasions
Four wins on the bounce..........................................1 occasion

Currently, in terms of the number of points collected per game,
in comparison with all other teams, we're on track to finish:
* 11th on 63 pts
* 29 pts short of winning the division outright
* 10 pts short of the lowest Play-Off spot
* 23 pts clear of relegation
* 29 pts clear of bottom place (Notts County)

Currently, our most likely finishing position is 11th on 66 pts

As always, thanks for reading,
NGR.

Be good to see this at the end of the season because instinctively it don't sit right with me. You've told me before that I shouldn't look at form until the last few games ..but I do - that is the team we currently are - not what we were at the beginning of the season or last season or what other teams were like - recent form, for me, better predicts the next match results - I can't see us getting that number of points unless current form changes dramatically but I would be happier as a fan to take your prediction over mine!!!

Well currently, we're the 11th best team in the division, despite what the League table may say, cos all teams have to play 46 games. A team that has the same number of points as another, having played a game fewer is clearly a better team than the other. The only time the League table makes any sense is if ALL teams have played the same number of games.
Not sure how they're doing lately, but at one stage Man Utd had won 6 on the bounce, and STILL weren't top by a long, long way, which proves my point about current form being nonsense. Current form is for betting purposes, that's all, like a dog's last 6 races, tells you nothing about how the dog has done over his career, and is no guarantee how he'll do in his next 6,or even his next one.

I thank you NGR for your stats. Obviously you have put time and effort in producing them. Hopefully your end of season prediction becomes a reality, because at the moment I don't believe many feel we will finish as high as 11th at the end of the season. Of course I presume we have or are due to play more FA cup games than any other League 2 team, and this must be having a negative affect on our current form. Only time will tell.

OLDCROMWELLIAN wrote:I thank you NGR for your stats. Obviously you have put time and effort in producing them. Hopefully your end of season prediction becomes a reality, because at the moment I don't believe many feel we will finish as high as 11th at the end of the season. Of course I presume we have or are due to play more FA cup games than any other League 2 team, and this must be having a negative affect on our current form. Only time will tell.

It's not a 'prediction' it's a projection. I'm not predicting anything, although last season I think it ended up just one place, and two points out. The season before, interestingly, I was calling it weeks in advance, that we'd "stay up, probably by 2 to 3 points"....

newgroundrodney wrote:

OLDCROMWELLIAN wrote:I thank you NGR for your stats. Obviously you have put time and effort in producing them. Hopefully your end of season prediction becomes a reality, because at the moment I don't believe many feel we will finish as high as 11th at the end of the season. Of course I presume we have or are due to play more FA cup games than any other League 2 team, and this must be having a negative affect on our current form. Only time will tell.

It's not a 'prediction' it's a projection. I'm not predicting anything, although last season I think it ended up just one place, and two points out. The season before, interestingly, I was calling it weeks in advance, that we'd "stay up, probably by 2 to 3 points"....

Ok. I stand corrected. I 'd be satisfied with your projection, especially so if we reach the 5th round as well.

Interestingly, since Flynn took over, 62% of the points we've collected have been at home.

newgroundrodney wrote:Interestingly, since Flynn took over, 62% of the points we've collected have been at home.

Interesting stats I wonder what the average home v away points % is I would have guessed at 70/30